budget discourse | performance linkage | Problem-Driven Iterative Adaptation | execution
As the Ministry of Finance finalises the national budget, the annual ritual of public debate has grown predictably loud. Sectoral advocates demand larger slices of the fiscal pie for education and health, while the private sector pleads for tax relief. As someone who has spent over two decades directing project implementation and managing developmental budgets in Nepal's non-governmental sector, this national fixation on allocation strikes me as fundamentally misguided.
Our core developmental bottleneck is not a scarcity of budget. It is a profound deficit in state capacity and execution productivity.
A stark structural mismatch makes this clear. Our national foreign reserves sit at record highs, yet domestic capital expenditure consistently languishes, often failing to clear 25% past the mid-year mark. We are trapped in what Harvard researchers call isomorphic mimicry. We have masterfully constructed the outward appearance of a functional state, with line-item budgets and progressive policy frameworks, but we lack the internal administrative pipes to actually deliver resources to the ground.
In the project-based NGO environment I work in, achieving an 85-90% execution rate is the baseline standard for survival. We reach it because budgets are built from real-time field needs against strict timelines. Crucially, high execution earns greater future allocation, executions which are transparent and efficiently spent to deliver outcomes; and donors reward that with more resources. The state must adopt this exact philosophy.
Three structural reforms would make this possible.
First, Nepal must transition from an Allocation Budget to an Execution Budget. Future fund releases must be tied to rolling monthly project milestones. Finance Minister Dr. Swarnim Wagle has noted the state is pursuing a “mission mode” to bypass bureaucratic delays and Nepal's track record during disaster response proves this mindset works. The challenge is sustaining it under normal governance. Ministries that transparently spend 90% of their funds delivering real outcomes should receive greater allocations next cycle. Those that freeze cash in sluggish administrative channels should see their baselines reduced.
Second, the state must adopt Problem-Driven Iterative Adaptation (PDIA). Rather than imposing rigid, top-down project designs that routinely fail on the ground, federal planners should allocate flexible learning funds targeting specific delivery bottlenecks. Instead of simply funding school construction, tie federal grants to verified milestones, like teacher attendance and localised textbook distribution. Authorise ministries and local units to test and iterate solutions to their own execution failures. The budget then stops being a passive distribution tool and becomes a dynamic engine for building state capability.
Third, we must institutionalise the performance-incentive link. The current bureaucratic culture too often protects absenteeism rather than rewarding delivery. Promotions and salary increments must instead be bound to clear outcomes, like foundational learning targets met, child stunting rates reduced.
Shifting our national conversation from how the budget is sliced to how efficiently it is executed will build the institutional trust Nepal's public sector desperately needs. For a country with fiscal constraints and human development ambitions, a capable state machinery is not a luxury, it is the only viable path forward.
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